Author Topic: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...  (Read 7220 times)

TheHobbit13

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NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« on: January 05, 2016, 02:04:17 PM »
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Feel free to post predictions here. Personally I am going week by week.


AFC:

Wild Card Weekend:

Steelers vs Bengals
I like the Bengals to straighten out the Steelers in Cincy. The-clock-gets-rocked . At home the crowd is electrifying!!! McCarron isn't flashy but neither are the Steelers. Their one wild card is an extra safety/special teams guy but he's slow and comes at the expense of draft picks. Besides, I feel like this game is almost literally the longest yard reincarnated.

Kansas City vs Houston

Everything's bigger in Texas? Yes, especially the beating they are about to recieve. Logically, I like the Chiefs in this one.

NFC:

Seahawks vs Vikings

I want to be a homer and say the Vikings will win but I just can't see it unless the best corner in the game slips on himself again..... ugh... closer than last time but Seattle can stack the box all they want because Teddy can't burn them deep. I like the Seahawks to win comfortably.


Packers vs Redskins

I like the Redskins to best the Packers in a shoot-out. The Redskins can exploit Green bay's awful secondary with Cousins+ speedy receivers....and the Packers, well, the packers have the MVP and a very good offense. It's the fact that the Packers are on the road that's preventing me from going with them.... I know what your saying! Yes, Aaron Rodgers can throw a flag once in a while but not on defense.



Offline uthminister [BR]

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2016, 02:37:49 PM »
+1
I like all of your picks except the first one. The fact is that the Steelers have dominated the Bengals in both locations but recently they have been more dominant when playing in the Jungle (almost directly coinciding with the new Paul Brown Stadium). The record in both location is identical 29/17 with the only playoff game being in Cincinnati in which the Bengal's starting quarterback Carson Palmer went down along with the Bengals chances of advancing. There is a reason many experts are picking the Steelers as one of the most feared teams in the playoffs.

TheHobbit13

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #2 on: January 05, 2016, 04:58:27 PM »
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There is a reason many experts are picking the Steelers as one of the most feared teams in the playoffs.

There is a reason but its probably not because the Steelers have a 29/17 record against the Bengals or won the last time the Bengals hosted them in the playoffs. They have a potent offense now that Big Ben is back but its not balanced. I think its safe to say that a Steelers victory will come through the air...... If Big Ben was healthy all season I would pick the Steelers hands down, but he hasn't been. I don't mean that his injury is a hindrance to his personal performance but his absence hurts the chemistry between himself and his wide receivers. The Bengals secondary should be good enough to keep it competitive. This same problem perhaps is worse with the Bengal's Qbs but I like that McCarron is careful and can lean on the running game to compensate. Moreover, The crowd is noisy at inconvenient times and the flags may not go the Steeler's way. I will admit that the Steelers are a better team than the Bengals without Dalton but I can't see them coming out with a W w/o a running game.

Offline VJ

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2016, 08:06:25 PM »
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1. Steelers.  The Bengals will have a few big passing plays against the Steelers pass defense, but it will not be enough to beat the Steelers.  Even if Dalton does play, this will not be enough to overcome the Big Ben and Brown duo.  This game might come down to a late game field goal to determine the winner.

2. Chiefs.  The Chiefs in their last 10 games have develop a rhythm together and obtained a "can do" mentality.  This will carry them to victory over the Texans.  Houston's only hope lies in J.J. Watt.  After the game Smith probably will be able to give an excellent description of him to a police artist because he will see him up close and personal throughout the game.  This will be low scoring game.

3. Seahawks.  With Lynch coming back improves the already good rush offense and Wilson is already well experienced in playoff games.  Bridgewater has the skills but he lacks the experience.  The last few weeks opposing teams have held Peterson well and I expect the Seahawks will limit his rushing yard totals.  The Seahawks will win big over the Vikings.  I have been a Vikings fan since I started watching them as little kid when I watched the football games with my father.  (Note:  this was when Fran was the QB.)  I would absolutely love to be wrong about this game. It would not hurt my feelings if the Seahawks got eliminated in the Wild Card game.

4. Redskins.  Cousins has set a new franchise record and is on a streak at the moment.  The Redskins receivers and Cousins are in sync with each other.  As one of NFL Network analyst said on NFL Access, Rodgers seems to have lost confidence in his receivers and he using bad judgment which leads to bad passes.  Normally, I would say the Packers are far better the Redskins, but the past month or so, this has not been the case.  If Lacy was not injured and limited I would have given Packers the edge in this game.  I expect this game to be a high scoring game.
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Offline AJ

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2016, 03:56:43 PM »
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Divisional Round

Patriots
Cardinals
Panthers
Broncos
Its Stiddy Time

Offline EmJayBee83

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #5 on: January 14, 2016, 04:23:17 PM »
+1
Divisional Round
------------------
       Packers
  doesn't matter
  doesn't matter
  doesn't matter


Conference Championship
---------------------------
        Packers
   doesn't matter


      Superbowl
     ------------
        Packers

Offline jbeers285

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #6 on: January 14, 2016, 05:04:00 PM »
+1
Chiefs
Steelers (homer pick)
Seahawks
Cardinals
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TheHobbit13

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2016, 12:12:50 AM »
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Divisional Round

Patriots
Cardinals
Panthers
Broncos
+1

Blair Walsh and the Ohio State penitentiary broke my heart last week ugh.....  Looking forward to some retribution this week  :-*


Offline uthminister [BR]

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2016, 11:22:20 AM »
+1
Chiefs
Steelers (homer pick)
Seahawks
Cardinals

I actually agree with your picks entirely...and for the same reason on the Steelers.

Offline VJ

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #9 on: January 16, 2016, 08:46:58 AM »
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Patriots
Packers
Panthers
Broncos

Again, I was 3-1 in my picks.  Was glad that the Cardinals did win though.  Very good games overall.
« Last Edit: January 18, 2016, 09:12:00 PM by VJ »
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #10 on: January 16, 2016, 11:46:05 PM »
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Turns out that Edelman guy has a positive affect on the Pat's offense. That Packers game though... Horrible reffing throughout, but a crazy finish. Even Aaron Rodgers can't cover up all the holes in that offense.
Its Stiddy Time

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #11 on: January 17, 2016, 08:52:38 AM »
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That Packers game though... Horrible reffing throughout, but a crazy finish. Even Aaron Rodgers can't cover up all the holes in that offense.
As far as the reffing goes there are always bad calls, but the ones here did not decide the game. It is hard for your offense not to have holes when the team's top four receivers at the start of the season are out with injuries.

Offline YourMathTeacher

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #12 on: January 17, 2016, 02:27:24 PM »
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Turns out that Edelman guy has a positive affect on the Pat's offense.

No one questioned the importance of Edelman in New England's offense, we only questioned your assertion that the Patriots would have gone undefeated if he had not been injured.

As I stated before, Edelman's importance is centered around the fact that he was a QB in college, and can therefore read defenses just as well as Brady. Both of them see the same blitzes, which means that Edelman knows where to go to get open, and Brady is on the same page.
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #13 on: January 18, 2016, 09:22:31 PM »
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Still thinking about my picks for this week.  I would like for the Cardinals and Broncos to win, but I feel that they both will lose.
do not think of yourself more highly than you ought but rather think of yourself with sober judgment

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2016, 09:40:36 AM »
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Still thinking about my picks for this week.  I would like for the Cardinals and Broncos to win, but I feel that they both will lose.

I would like to see that for sure and then for Peyton Manning to win and ride off into the sunset. Knowing that he won't do that based on his comments earlier in the season, I would prefer to see Larry Fitzgerald, Carson Palmer and Bruce Arians (ex Steeler coach) take the title. They would all be so happy to win, except for Tyrann Mathieu...honey badger don't care.
« Last Edit: January 19, 2016, 03:54:24 PM by uthminister [BR] »

TheHobbit13

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #15 on: January 19, 2016, 02:33:44 PM »
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Honestly, New England looks good. They are rolling and healthier; however, I can't take them in thin air. Great job losing to Miami, it cost you a Superbowl spot. I like the way the Broncos defense is set up. Two great pass rushers, and a Monster corner in Aquib Talib... Plus he is personally motivated, having played for New England before and past playoff injuries... Offensively, Peyton and his receivers didn't look like they were on the same page against the Steelers. Gay is good but it wasn't just good secondary play. I'm not worried about Manning rising to the occasion though, it's not going to be flashy but it doesn't have to be the Patriots defense isn't either.

I like the Broncos

Arizona isn't great anymore.... This isn't going to be very close.  It's obvious to me now how talented Tyrann Mathieu is.

Carolina has my vote


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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #16 on: January 19, 2016, 03:11:15 PM »
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AFC: Whoever has the ball last...  :P

NFC: Carolina
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #17 on: January 19, 2016, 07:00:32 PM »
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Patriots an Cards win this week. The Broncos barely beat a Steelers team that was missing Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams and won because a third string running back fumbled. The Broncos did not look good. The Panthers have to finish out games.
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #18 on: January 24, 2016, 10:09:19 PM »
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The Broncos and Patriots game was a good one.  The Broncos' defense made up for Peyton's shortcomings.

The Panthers totally controlled the game and they will be hard to stop in the Super Bowl.

Does anybody know how many times the two teams in the Super Bowl were the no. 1 seeds?
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #19 on: January 24, 2016, 10:44:09 PM »
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From a quick google search, before now, the number 1 seeds have met in the superbowl 11 times.
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #20 on: January 25, 2016, 12:32:44 PM »
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AFC: Whoever has the ball last...  :P

NFC: Carolina

Boom, nailed it.  8)

Carolina looks so good right now...Panthers will win, I just hope Manning doesn't get embarrassed like he was two years ago against the Seahawks. Last year's Super Bowl was so great, hoping for another good one!

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TheHobbit13

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #21 on: January 25, 2016, 06:42:39 PM »
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Again, the Broncos didn't look spectacular offensively. They were able to do a lot more than in the divisional round but still not awesome. I'm guessing the difference was correlated with the difference in the Steelers and Patriots defenses. I feel like the Broncos performance in the Superbowl, offensively, is going to be more like the divisional round than last week because Carolina has a good defense. I really like Denver's defense but Cam Newton is elusive and has a rocket arm, so I don't think they will slow the Panther's down enough to compensate for their low producing offensive performance. I don't see many ways this game could be a blow out so I am hopeful for a good game. I like Carolina. I will say that I love this match-up, because I don't care who wins at all and would be happy with either winning.

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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2016, 05:04:50 PM »
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If the Broncos' defense can force a couple of turnovers, they might be able to stay close.  The key to the game for the Broncos is ball control and keeping Cam off the field.

Being a great fan of classic movies with sentimental endings, I would like to see Peyton get another ring and retire on top.

However, the Panthers are a very good team all around and as I said before, they will be hard to defeat.
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #23 on: January 30, 2016, 05:17:21 PM »
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Panthers  should win, but I really hope Manning gets one more. The only way the Broncos win is if thier D can cause a few turnovers. But in all likelihood , It'll probably be a blowout .
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Re: NFL Play-off Picks!!! Must be empirical...
« Reply #24 on: February 08, 2016, 05:37:41 PM »
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I enjoyed the Super Bowl very much.  As predicted, if the Broncos could cause a couple of turnovers, they had a chance of winning.  Both of the fumbles by Cam led the Broncos to victory.  Too bad the MVP trophy could not have gone to all of the players of the Broncos defense, but Von Miller certainty did earn it.
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