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Open Forum => Off-Topic => Sports => Topic started by: EmJayBee83 on January 21, 2015, 01:44:35 PM

Title: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 21, 2015, 01:44:35 PM
...nothing could make me lean toward rooting for the Sea Hawks, we have this (http://espn.go.com/boston/nfl/story/_/id/12202450/nfl-says-new-england-patriots-had-inflated-footballs-afc-championship-game).

Sigh...

Spoiler (hover to show)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 21, 2015, 02:08:35 PM
This is an outrage! :o
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: TheHobbit13 on January 21, 2015, 02:20:57 PM
Why would an underinflated ball help you?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 21, 2015, 02:23:28 PM
Why would an underinflated ball help you?
I could have been a mistake... maybe they messed up the other team?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: TheHobbit13 on January 21, 2015, 02:32:05 PM
The  colts kept the underinflated balls they intercepted.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 21, 2015, 02:34:59 PM
The  colts kept the underinflated balls they intercepted.
Oh, thanks for catching that! ;)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: VJ on January 21, 2015, 03:53:48 PM
According to what I heard - an under inflated ball is easier to throw and catch in bad weather games.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 21, 2015, 04:00:13 PM
According to what I heard - an under inflated ball is easier to throw and catch in bad weather games.
I wonder who under inflated the balls? A coach, or was it an accident?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 04:24:16 PM
It's really, really easy to immediately call foul play on Belichick and the Patriots as a whole, but this feels a little too obvious. They know their balls will be handled by the officials and (potentially) the Colts. It just feels like it would be a little too easy to get caught, and even if Belichick would be inclined to cheat, I just can't see him being stupid enough to do something so detectable. Something doesn't add up to me there, and I'm reserving judgement until we get the official declaration from the NFL. I'm sure there is room for some kind of explanation that isn't related to intentional foul play. If the Patriots can't prove their innocence though, they'll likely end up losing draft picks. Fortunately, even members of the Colts admit that deflated balls don't account for 45-7, so this is something that won't affect the Super Bowl in the slightest.

Edit: Kevin Clark tweeted this this morning: "NFL head coaches here at Senior Bowl seem downright offended that people think this deflation stuff is a big deal."

As unpopular as the Patriots are even in the league itself, it's noteworthy that virtually no players or coaches are vilifying them for this. If the people who would know exactly what kind of an impact this would have aren't outraged, what are the odds the average fan is going to have a better informed opinion? I'm starting to get the feeling that the only people who will really make a big fuss about this going forward are hardcore Seahawks fans and hardcore Patriots detractors. In other words, cue Josiah in 3... 2... 1...
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 21, 2015, 04:30:49 PM
Heh heh heh.    <== Juvenile laughter at a sentence in Chris's post.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Jmbeers on January 21, 2015, 07:22:01 PM
haha, @ chris,

I Jerome, not Josiah, am a hardcore Seattle fan.

I don't think deflating the balls themselves is a huge deal. I don't think it made the difference in the colts game. However, I do think it is significant that the pats game balls were rechecked at half and 11 of 12 were found to be deflated while 0 of 12 for the colts were. This takes out any weather as the cause claims that had been circling. Is this incident a huge advantage? Obviously not, but if the pats, or Brady, didn't think it made a differance they wouldn't do it.

Dose it make a difference? Who cares, the point is the patriots organization has deliberately broken a league rule to attempt to gain an advantage. aka cheated. (again)

Also, this report has now started to grow and pull out claims from other teams during the regular season. Could just be salty whiners but I don't think we can say its nothing. If it made a difference in one single pass or catch this season there should be actual consequences.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 07:38:03 PM
Quote
Dose it make a difference? Who cares, the point is the patriots organization has deliberately broken a league rule to attempt to gain an advantage. aka cheated. (again)

That's still being investigated though. I'm not positing that the weather had anything to do with it, but there are other possibilities, including that it was done deliberately, but not by the higher ups. Again, if in a couple days or weeks or however long it takes the NFL concludes that the Patriots did do it on purpose, I'll accept that and expect a removal of draft picks just like everyone else. At the moment though, for the reasons I stated above, I'm withholding judgement.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 21, 2015, 08:30:06 PM
No need to try to figure out whether the Patriots really cheated or not. The important thing is to come up with a cool name for this.  Right now, the leading contenders seem to be "DeflateGate" and "Ballghazi." As I think adding "Gate" to something lacks a bit in originality--I lean towards "Ballghazi."

What say ye?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Jmbeers on January 21, 2015, 08:37:04 PM
Yes but Ballghazi seems to imply that something of sinister nature happened in a certain country lately. We all know that couldn't have actually be the case.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 21, 2015, 09:03:05 PM
deflategate rhymes though
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 21, 2015, 09:10:32 PM
From The Onion comes the following headline.*

NFL Investigating Whether Patriots Played Game With Properly Inflated Vince Wilfork


*I would provide a link to the article, but I have burned by The Onion in the past when I did that.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 09:12:19 PM
Yes but Ballghazi seems to imply that something of sinister nature happened in a certain country lately. We all know that couldn't have actually be the case.

"Spot the Republican" is really, really easy on these boards.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Jmbeers on January 21, 2015, 10:02:29 PM
So only a republican would care about the death of an American ambassador?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 10:12:56 PM
This literally has nothing to do with football at all. I don't know why you even brought it up.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Jmbeers on January 21, 2015, 10:16:55 PM
It was supposed to be a joke, you know the things you laugh at.

It wasn't political until you took it that way. Obviously it touch a nerve

GO SEAHAWKS!!! Beat the Ballghazies!!
(This is about football)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 21, 2015, 10:26:02 PM
Yes but Ballghazi seems to imply that something of sinister nature happened in a certain country lately. We all know that couldn't have actually be the case.

"Spot the Republican" is really, really easy on these boards.

it's like spotting a tree in a forest because it's literally the only thing here
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Rawrlolsauce! on January 21, 2015, 10:42:24 PM
it's like spotting a tree in a forest because it's literally the only thing here
That's because the vast majority of people are Christian, and thus follow Christian values unlike dirty liberals.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 21, 2015, 10:44:58 PM
it's like spotting a tree in a forest because it's literally the only thing here
That's because the vast majority of people are Christian, and thus follow Christian values unlike dirty liberals.

You can't blame Liberals for not being as fully evolved as Conservatives
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 10:46:22 PM
Somehow a thread about the Patriots became even more terrible after we got off topic.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: lp670sv on January 21, 2015, 11:24:51 PM
Every one does this. That's been confirmed by every former player or coach that's been asked, and several current players have talked about it. The only reason this blew up is because it's the Patriots and everybody wants reasons to hate them. move along.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 11:36:05 PM
Every one does this. That's been confirmed by every former player or coach that's been asked, and several current players have talked about it. The only reason this blew up is because it's the Patriots and everybody wants reasons to hate them. move along.

This describes Spygate fairly accurately as well.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: lp670sv on January 21, 2015, 11:42:32 PM
Every one does this. That's been confirmed by every former player or coach that's been asked, and several current players have talked about it. The only reason this blew up is because it's the Patriots and everybody wants reasons to hate them. move along.

This describes Spygate fairly accurately as well.

Spygate is slightly different in that a memo was sent out that year to stop doing it. But yes in much the same way everyone did that, and it only turned in to an issue because Eric Mangini used it as a way to get some kind of pay back on Belichick by ratting him out and making a way bigger deal about it than needed to be made.

Also the part where it was supposedly "covered up" which is a hilariously false rumor still perpetuated to this day.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Drrek on January 21, 2015, 11:52:05 PM
Spygate is slightly different in that a memo was sent out that year to stop doing it. But yes in much the same way everyone did that, and it only turned in to an issue because Eric Mangini used it as a way to get some kind of pay back on Belichick by ratting him out and making a way bigger deal about it than needed to be made.

You know people give him crap about making it an issue for the Patriots when many teams were doing it, but honestly if you can get your division rival in trouble and cost them draft picks, even for something that you know other teams are doing to, I don't imagine there are many coaches that wouldn't try to get their rival in trouble.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 21, 2015, 11:55:16 PM
Mangini swears up and down that he never intended for it to become the blowup that it did.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 22, 2015, 07:31:24 AM
Every one does this.
The NFL tested the balls used by the Colts at halftime of the AFC Championship also. Surprisingly, they were all at regulation.  So at least one team does *not* do it.

All of this calls for another headline from The Onion...

Quote from: The Onion
Nation Can’t Wait To Hear Patriots Fans’ Excuses This Time
...
“No, no, by all means, go ahead,” said every single person living outside of Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, Maine, Rhode Island, and Connecticut before reportedly smiling and adding, “I’m all ears.”
...
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 22, 2015, 09:10:06 AM
I was rooting for the patriots, but now I am reconsidering due to this cheating matter... :scratch:
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 22, 2015, 12:44:18 PM
The Patriots may have found the culprit that was deflating the game balls. As it turns out, it was the same guy that used a snowplow to set up the Patriots' game-winning field goal against the Dolphins years ago.  :o

Interestingly, there is speculation that he is the same guy that poured red paint on Curt Shilling's sock.  :o   :o
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 22, 2015, 01:29:58 PM
Belichick has formally denied tampering with the balls, which is enough for me to say that if it was done intentionally, it wasn't an order that came from the top. Remember that when Spygate happened, Belichick never attempted to cover it up or act like he didn't know what was happening. He made it absolutely clear that he thought what was being done was within the bounds of the rules, even if they had to be stretched a bit to get there. The camera people in charge of filming the signals were wearing Patriots gear. There was no attempt at deception or anything like that, and Belichick was completely open with the entire history of the filming during his tenure with the Patriots up to that point, including volunteering information he didn't need to. Even if you hate him, you have to admit that Belichick has never done anything to suggest he cannot be taken at his word.

Brady has a press conference in a couple hours. Interested to see what he says.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 22, 2015, 01:53:19 PM
The fact is: Even if the patriots cheated, it wouldn't affect the outcome of the game, they creamed them around 45 to 7!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 22, 2015, 02:09:47 PM
The fact is: Even if the patriots cheated, it wouldn't affect the outcome of the game, they creamed them around 45 to 7!

It's kind of an irrelevant point, as even at least one Colts player admits that. Just how much of an effect the cheating had isn't really the issue here, as everyone universally agreed it had none. The issue is whether or not they intentionally cheated.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 22, 2015, 02:54:34 PM
The issue is whether or not they intentionally cheated.
That is going to be hard to figure out, even if they do, what will the consequences be?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 22, 2015, 02:56:37 PM
The Patriots may have found the culprit that was deflating the game balls. As it turns out, it was the same guy that used a snowplow to set up the Patriots' game-winning field goal against the Dolphins years ago.  :o

Interestingly, there is speculation that he is the same guy that poured red paint on Curt Shilling's sock.  :o   :o

Actually, I saw what happened. Vince Wilfork missed the bench and landed on the ball rack although he didn't notice.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 22, 2015, 04:36:12 PM
For the record, I am extremely disappointed with my Patriots. Clearly someone altered the game balls. Regardless of what effect it would have actually made, written rules and procedures were broken intentionally (it would seem). As a Christian, I cannot condone this type of behavior, just because "everybody's doing it" (except the Colts). Rules are rules, and they must make a difference, otherwise why would the rule even be there?

I drive 5 mph over the speed limit on a regular basis. Everybody around me does the same or more. If a trooper decides to pull me over on any given Sunday, I can't expect the excuses we like to give to prevent me from having to pay a fine. I would expect the Patriots to have some sort of punishment, and deservedly so. Rules are rules. As a Patriots fan, I'm certainly glad they enforced the obscure "Tuck Rule."  ;)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: lp670sv on January 22, 2015, 05:48:20 PM
For the record, I am extremely disappointed with my Patriots. Clearly someone altered the game balls. Regardless of what effect it would have actually made, written rules and procedures were broken intentionally (it would seem). As a Christian, I cannot condone this type of behavior, just because "everybody's doing it" (except the Colts). Rules are rules, and they must make a difference, otherwise why would the rule even be there?

I drive 5 mph over the speed limit on a regular basis. Everybody around me does the same or more. If a trooper decides to pull me over on any given Sunday, I can't expect the excuses we like to give to prevent me from having to pay a fine. I would expect the Patriots to have some sort of punishment, and deservedly so. Rules are rules. As a Patriots fan, I'm certainly glad they enforced the obscure "Tuck Rule."  ;)

I don't know about where you live but in NY Cops are specifically taught not to pull someone over for anything less than 10 MPH over because anything less can be argued down in court to a parking ticket or less and it's a waste of the state's time
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 23, 2015, 06:44:31 AM
Time for another quick poll...

Which statement do you find *more* believable...

Ndamukong Suh's claim that he didn't know he was stepping on Aaron Rodgers' leg in week 17 because his feet were cold.

-or-

Tom Brady's claim that he felt absolutely no difference between under-inflated and regulation footballs in the AFC championship game.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 23, 2015, 08:29:30 AM
Suh
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 23, 2015, 10:35:08 AM
I have to admit, Suh
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: _JM_ on January 23, 2015, 11:23:10 AM
Brady's statement is far more believable.  Stepping on something like Suh did affects your whole body and balance, not just your foot.  2 PSI difference is much more subtle, especially when the balls you're using in the game are all right around the same PSI.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Jmbeers on January 23, 2015, 11:47:05 AM
I'll take the statement with more weight...

Once the wind dies down and I can reach one of them.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 23, 2015, 02:12:20 PM
Tom Brady's claim that he felt absolutely no difference between under-inflated and regulation footballs in the AFC championship game.
This is ridicules, I think he is lying! :o
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 23, 2015, 02:38:47 PM
I don't know about where you live but in NY Cops are specifically taught not to pull someone over for anything less than 10 MPH over because anything less can be argued down in court to a parking ticket or less and it's a waste of the state's time

Congratulations! You have met the preliminary qualifications to join Bill Belichick's staff!  ;D
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 23, 2015, 02:45:36 PM
I would have them redo the whole game!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 23, 2015, 04:35:54 PM
There is no precedence to believe that Brady is lying, as he hasn't really ever been caught in a lie before. The moment we start to doubt why Brady wouldn't notice a difference, you also have to call into question why the officials didn't notice either. No, they don't grip the ball quite as hard, but that's still a discrepancy in the accusation that Brady is lying. Keep in mind that the variance in PSI can be anywhere from 12.5 to 13.5, so it's not even as though there is an absolute standard. In fact, because re-inflating balls is illegal except during half time, the PSI would change even during the game. That also offers an explanation for why the Patriots' balls were under inflated while the Colts' were not: Brady is on-record stating he likes under inflated balls, so he's likely to have them at the bare minimum (12.5 PSI) (this is something that Belichick brought up in his press conference as well). If the Colts started towards the top end of that range, it is possible that while all of the balls deflated due to an external factor, only the Patriots' balls actually ended up under the legal limit. While the initial report was that the Patriots' balls were under inflated by 2 PSI, it's possible that ESPN was using the upper threshold as a comparison, and it was not actually by that much. It really might just be a case of awful reporting that resulted in the story being blown out of proportion. Given that ESPN has been the main engine driving this since then, it really wouldn't surprise me. A week of speculation with no confirmation whatsoever, with almost everyone with any real experience downplaying it (pretty much everyone except Jerry Rice) makes me think ESPN has created a story when there really isn't one.

I would have them redo the whole game!

Absolutely not. Even players on the Colts admit the Patriots would have stomped them on Sunday regardless of the inflation of the balls. The story is disconcerting if the Patriots cheated, and they should be punished for it, but absolutely everyone agrees that it didn't actually have any bearing whatsoever on the game itself. Why specifically do you think Brady is lying? He has absolutely no history of it.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 23, 2015, 10:42:14 PM
An Colts reporter was actually the first report on the issue.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 24, 2015, 06:56:52 AM
There is no precedence to believe that Brady is lying, as he hasn't really ever been caught in a lie before.

I think the whole point of both Spygate and Deflategate is that they had never been "caught" prior to the incident. I'll be honest. I've been following the Patriots since I was old enough to know what a football was, having been raised in New England by proud Patriots fan parents. Even though I live in Florida now, I still read every pertinent article about them, since I don't get to see the televised games every week. This past year has been quite disturbing in regard to Brady. His expletive-filled rants on the sidelines and in interviews certainly has made me question his character more than ever before, and he was no saint before this year. When I watch the games, I do pay attention to his interactions with opposing players in between plays, and he is almost always jawing at the other team and getting in their face. I can't stand Richard Sherman, but at least he is honest, and he has mentioned Brady's mouth for years. So, frankly, I think there is precedence that Brady has character flaws, which could include lying. I think Bridget Moynahan could shed some light on that claim.  ;)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 24, 2015, 09:29:33 AM
Coaches are sometime too serious about their game!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 25, 2015, 12:05:12 PM
Poll question for today...

How do you prefer your balls (from the Tom Brady press conference)?


If the Colts started towards the top end of that range, it is possible that while all of the balls deflated due to an external factor, only the Patriots' balls actually ended up under the legal limit.
Just for my own curiosity what do you think this external factor would be?  Can you also explain why this external factor did not effect the Patriots' balls in the second half? (According to reports the balls were re-inflated and checked by refs at half time to and rechecked for legality at the end of the game--passing both times).
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 25, 2015, 04:11:23 PM
1. Round
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 01:13:17 AM
If the Colts started towards the top end of that range, it is possible that while all of the balls deflated due to an external factor, only the Patriots' balls actually ended up under the legal limit.
Just for my own curiosity what do you think this external factor would be?  Can you also explain why this external factor did not effect the Patriots' balls in the second half? (According to reports the balls were re-inflated and checked by refs at half time to and rechecked for legality at the end of the game--passing both times).

One possible option is that the balls were inflated in a much warmer area, and then deflated after being exposed to the relatively cold weather. Most of the speculation surrounding this idea is based on a sauna or something similar, but it's possible that a locker room could result in the same effect; it might have just been a freak thing. It's also possible the balls were never properly checked and were always under-inflated, and the officials just didn't do their job properly. To me, that actually seems like the most likely option, since the balls stay with the officials until they are given to the team, where they are left outside in front of cameras, fans, and the officials. If someone tampered with the balls after inspection, it was done in front of millions of people. Regardless, if that is not the case and it was weather related, the answer to your second question is that the balls were left outside for a much shorter duration during the second half than they were before and during the first half, which could explain the discrepency. They also have may be filled higher than the minimum 12.5 PSI, since the officials are the ones that reinflated them during the half.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 26, 2015, 08:28:29 AM
So you do not find it suspicious that they inflate their game balls in a sauna?  :o

Or is really that much hotter in the Patriots locker room than the Colts' locker room?  :scratch:
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 26, 2015, 08:59:10 AM
So you do not find it suspicious that they inflate their game balls in a sauna?  :o

Or is really that much hotter in the Patriots locker room than the Colts' locker room?  :scratch:
Sneaky, sneaky. They sure earned a bad reputation for themselves!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 01:03:35 PM
So you do not find it suspicious that they inflate their game balls in a sauna?  :o

Or is really that much hotter in the Patriots locker room than the Colts' locker room?  :scratch:

Belichick has formally denied that they inflate their balls in a sauna, but even if they had, there's nothing in the rules that prohibits that. Again, if the Colts had their balls inflated closer to 13.5 PSI and the Patriots had theirs closer to 12.5 PSI, it would explain why the Colts' balls were legal while the Patriots' weren't.

Sneaky, sneaky. They sure earned a bad reputation for themselves!

Doing what, specifically? There is still zero evidence of wrongdoing, and even the report that 11 out of 12 balls were under-inflated isn't actually confirmed by the NFL. If you think they're cheating, explain specifically why. Right now it just sounds like you're hating them because that's what's popular to do.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 26, 2015, 01:25:23 PM
The patriots are the most istrusted team up to date according to MSN, they have found cheating or bending the rules before.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 26, 2015, 01:51:50 PM
Chris, Chris, chris, ever for the underdog, ever for opposite side of popularity, ever the hipster, ever the fully engrained football fan.  I bet your arguing for YEC on hearthstone forums right now.  ;)

In a little more serious nature,

When we are talking about spy gate the circumstances and testimonies against them look terrible and there was enough evidence to strip picks for that.  (Everyone else is doing it didn't work in 2nd grade when I lost recess time for talking in class. I don't see why it works here.)

Deflategate is another situation where expert opinions and circumstances look really fishy for the patriots.

A couple things I'd like to know
1. Did the balls for Tom Brady not feel different because he has been using under inflated balls for years, or this year at least?
2. If the colts had a higher PSI by a full pound at the start of the game (this is your speculation, the NFL has not confirmed this)  and the balls deflated approximately equally. why is there now a 2lbs discrepancy?
3.  If the colts balls where inflated to 13.5 and the patriots to 12.5 wouldnt the increased psi on the colts mean an increased deflation speed? Wouldnt that close the 1 psi descrepency rather than enlarge it?

Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 26, 2015, 01:56:23 PM
The only reason I didn't want the seahawks to win was because they won last year, I like to see new people win every year, but I also don't like cheaters!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 02:39:16 PM
Quote
1. Did the balls for Tom Brady not feel different because he has been using under inflated balls for years, or this year at least?

Inflate a football to 12.5 PSI, then deflate it to 11.5 PSI and feel the difference. The impact of that small a change is fairly minimal. Throw in the fact that adrenalin would be running high and Brady doesn't play with a glove on his throwing hand (meaning it would be cold and possibly numb) and there's no real reason to think that Brady claiming he didn't feel a difference would condemn him. It is well within the bounds of plausibility that he just didn't notice, especially given the fact that the officials didn't notice either. Suggesting he has been using under-inflated balls for years has no real place in this discussion, since it's completely baseless speculation unless someone with legitimacy comes out and claims that it's true.

Quote
2. If the colts had a higher PSI by a full pound at the start of the game (this is your speculation, the NFL has not confirmed this)  and the balls deflated approximately equally. why is there now a 2lbs discrepancy?

11 out of the 12 balls being under-inflated is technically speculation as well, since the NFL hasn't confirmed that either. In fact, there are now conflicting reports that suggest only one ball was under-inflated, or a more recent report that ten of the Patriots' balls were only under-inflated by one pound (http://larrybrownsports.com/football/10-patriots-balls-only-one-pound-under-inflated/253533). Most people condemning the Patriots are basing their assertion on the most damning of the reports, but others out there aren't nearly as bad. In fact, the initial report itself was clearly missing information, unless every single ball was under-inflated by exactly 2 PSI.

Quote
3.  If the colts balls where inflated to 13.5 and the patriots to 12.5 wouldnt the increased psi on the colts mean an increased deflation speed? Wouldnt that close the 1 psi descrepency rather than enlarge it?

I don't know enough to formally dispute this claim, but I sincerely doubt it. Unless one of us can provide sources proving it one way or the other, this is kind of a wash right now.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: _JM_ on January 26, 2015, 02:54:46 PM
Article with some more details. (http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/01/25/nfl-bears-plenty-of-blame-for-deflategate/)

Relevant section that helps highlight the need not to rush to judgment when the only facts are more like rumors.  Emphasis mine.

Quote
But what has the NFL really found?  As one league source has explained it to PFT, the football intercepted by Colts linebacker D’Qwell Jackson was roughly two pounds under the 12.5 PSI minimum. The other 10 balls that reportedly were two pounds under may have been, as the source explained it, closer to one pound below 12.5 PSI.

The NFL has yet to share specific information regarding the PSI measurements of the balls that were confiscated and measured at halftime.  Which has allowed the perception of cheating to linger, fueled by the confirmation from Friday that the NFL found underinflated balls, but that the NFL still doesn’t know how they came to be that way.

“The goals of the investigation will be to determine the explanation for why footballs used in the game were not in compliance with the playing rules and specifically whether any noncompliance was the result of deliberate action,” the league said. “We have not made any judgments on these points and will not do so until we have concluded our investigation and considered all of the relevant evidence.”

It's also important to remember, as Chris just pointed out, that there is not much difference at all between a ball that is inflated to 10.5-11.0 PSI and a ball at 12.5 PSI.  The rules regarding air pressure in the ball are in place 1) because there needs to be a standard definition for balls to conform to and 2) narrower range is better to ensure that footballs are generally consistent.

I still don't understand why this is such a huge deal.  At worst, it's pushing the envelope in a way that seems pretty acceptable in the football culture.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 26, 2015, 03:01:46 PM
I feel like a QB, whose job it is (paid millions) to throw a football would be very aware of a ball and how comfortable it feels to him.  Aaron Rodgers clearly likes his balls inflated to the highest limit due to his large hand size it's his prefernce. 80 and sunny or 30 and windy is an excuse not a reason.  My suggestion has some level of credibility. Look at Tom Brady's life Cowherd spoke weeks ago about
The greatness of Tom Brady and his number 1 reason was consistency. "The guys has a daily itinerary for his vacations." 8 am get up 8:30 breakfast, 9:00 get packed and ready to go to the beach, 10-12 sun bath and nap, 12-1 lunch at the cabana, 1-2 get in the water, 2-4 nap on the beach ect ect ect to expect him not to notice a difference by more then my opinion is absurd.

@_JM_

Everyone else is doing is not a legit answer. 
Pushing the envelope is not legal in the NFL and it's not about the one game. It's about what it represents for the Patriots brand, Bellicheck, Brady and Kraft.  2 times now publicly exposed the fear is that they have a culture in fox borough, a culture of "pushing the envelope."
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 26, 2015, 03:16:56 PM
Quote
1. Did the balls for Tom Brady not feel different because he has been using under inflated balls for years, or this year at least?

Inflate a football to 12.5 PSI, then deflate it to 11.5 PSI and feel the difference. The impact of that small a change is fairly minimal.
You mean, of course 10.5 PSI--'cause the one turned in following the Colt interception was 2 pounds under the required minimum.

Here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jio5IEKzrqk) is a video of fans doing your test.

But maybe your average folks off the street aren't the best judges.  What do former players say?  Here (http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=12205404) is a video of former players doing the same test.

It's also important to remember, as Chris just pointed out, that there is not much difference at all between a ball that is inflated to 10.5-11.0 PSI and a ball at 12.5 PSI.
Well, I know Chris has claimed that repeatedly, but both fans and former players disagree. So maybe it is not so important to remember that.  ;)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 04:16:05 PM
You mean, of course 10.5 PSI--'cause the one turned in following the Colt interception was 2 pounds under the required minimum.
Unless you have a statement from the NFL confirming that, you can't really claim that as a fact. There are conflicting reports on how many balls were under-inflated and just how under-inflated they were.

Quote
Here (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jio5IEKzrqk) is a video of fans doing your test.
So just what was the difference between those two balls? The video never says. Moreover, how many people said they could tell the difference and how many said they couldn't? Without this information, that video is next to meaningless. Even with that video, the fact that random people are being handed those balls on the street as opposed to in the AFC Championship Game means the results don't really properly measure what they're supposed to.

Quote
But maybe your average folks off the street aren't the best judges.  What do former players say?  Here (http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=12205404) is a video of former players doing the same test.
This video is even worse. The under-inflated ball they were given was at 10 PSI. Nobody is claiming that the Patriots' balls were at 10 PSI, and of course it's going to feel different when it's a change of 2.5 PSI. Plus, again, these players are being asked to measure that in the middle of a TV studio, and they're given ample time to anticipate the difference. This test is not really measuring anything particularly significant to the AFC Championship Game because it's an entirely different set of circumstances.

I don't mean for this to sound like a personal attack, but I honestly better arguments from you. I know you can argue well and back up your side with strong evidence; I've seen you do it for years. I'm genuinely surprised you're trying to use those videos as proof of anything.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 26, 2015, 04:22:27 PM
There is no real Proof out there, everything is opinionated and  assumed.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: _JM_ on January 26, 2015, 04:25:47 PM
@_JM_

Everyone else is doing is not a legit answer. 
Pushing the envelope is not legal in the NFL and it's not about the one game. It's about what it represents for the Patriots brand, Bellicheck, Brady and Kraft.  2 times now publicly exposed the fear is that they have a culture in fox borough, a culture of "pushing the envelope."

Note that I'm not saying this is something not to be punished.  Rulebook states what PSI footballs should be inflated to, it appears that at least one of the footballs the Patriots supplied for the game was outside of that range during the game.  So yeah, (alleged) illegal action, punishment (likely) to follow, cool.

Rather, my question is why are people making such a huge fuss over this?  The vitriol and angst in a lot of what I've read (not just here) seems wildly disproportionate to the actual alleged crime.  Reminder: it still hasn't been shown that the Patriots organization intentionally presented improperly inflated footballs, or if a member of the Patriots organization took action to make any footballs improperly inflated after the official check - the most anyone can claim from investigation leaks is that at least one football was most likely under-inflated at some point during the first half.  Nothing has been proven regarding intentionality, which is critical if we're going to tarnish the Patriots brand with the "cheaters" label.

And as much as I'd love to, I can't jump on the "Darth Belichick and Evil Tom Brady are dirty rotten cheaters" bandwagon until there's, you know, actual proof that they acted nefariously and that this wasn't just a mix-up in process or some other set of circumstances that contradicts the sleazy cheaters story line.

Also note that I didn't say "everyone else is doing it" - I said that pushing the envelope in the area of football PSI seems to be acceptable in the football culture.  Pretty much all of the lynch mob talk has come from sports media, while those actually affected by these actions (current coaches/players) aren't coming out in mass condemnation of the Patriots.  Just because something is acceptable doesn't mean that everybody engages in that something.  For instance (already brought up in this thread), driving 5-10 mph over the speed limit.  Culturally acceptable, not everybody does it, and if law enforcement decides it's worth the effort, you'll get punished for it.  Same thing seems to be happening here.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 05:00:33 PM
Literally anyone in this topic who is condemning the Patriots for this right now is basing every single one of their assumptions on a single report. Absolutely everything since then has speculation, with virtually anyone with any kind of authority either ignoring it or talking about how stupid it is. The only entity that stands to profit from it is the same one that started it: ESPN. If you are honestly convinced the Patriots did this intentionally at this stage, you must really not care about a little thing called "evidence," because right now, there isn't any.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 26, 2015, 05:04:12 PM
Rather, my question is why are people making such a huge fuss over this? 

As Christians, we should be making a fuss over bending and breaking rules for personal gain. Jesus did the same to the moneychangers in the temple.

As football fans, we should be making a fuss over bending and breaking rules if it may have cost my team a victory (assuming that my team did not bend/break the rules).

As Patriots fans, we should be making a fuss over bending and breaking rules it if makes our team the laughingstock of the NFL, and the team most despised (even above North Korea or the Yankees) by the rest of the country. It's one thing to not like the Patriots because they win and your team doesn't. It's a whole different ball game to not like Patriots because they have a recorded history of breaking the rules.

Literally anyone in this topic who is condemning the Patriots for this right now is basing every single one of their assumptions on a single report. Absolutely everything since then has speculation, with virtually anyone with any kind of authority either ignoring it or talking about how stupid it is. The only entity that stands to profit from it is the same one that started it: ESPN. If you are honestly convinced the Patriots did this intentionally at this stage, you must really not care about a little thing called "evidence," because right now, there isn't any.

Oh, I see now.... Chris has been trolling us the whole time. Shame on me for not seeing it sooner. LOL. You got me.  ;D
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 26, 2015, 05:08:07 PM
Show me any actual real evidence of intentional wrongdoing by the Patriots.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 26, 2015, 05:09:18 PM
Show me any actual real evidence of intentional wrongdoing by the Patriots.
Like I said:
There is no real Proof out there, everything is opinionated and  assumed, however, those opinions are strong.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 26, 2015, 06:05:15 PM
I have a strong opinion that Jesus is real but that doesn't mean anything
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 26, 2015, 06:46:59 PM
http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/2015/01/25/patriots-fumble-nearly-impossible-rate/LCgrlUR9qgxDsIgcal9dUI/story.html (http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/2015/01/25/patriots-fumble-nearly-impossible-rate/LCgrlUR9qgxDsIgcal9dUI/story.html)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 26, 2015, 09:11:50 PM
Lost total respect for the article when it said this isn't random chance when obviously it could be random chance
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 27, 2015, 12:16:19 AM
Lost total respect for the article when it said this isn't random chance when obviously it could be random chance

Statistical 0 chance leads me to feel that saying "there is no chance it's random" is ok since its mathematically accurate and acceptable as fact.  The article also states it could be coaching, play selection, player selection, a new way to carry the ball that only the patriots know or the ball. 
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 27, 2015, 12:19:41 AM
Except that there's a roughly 1/16200 chance it could have just happened independent of anything else
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: jbeers285 on January 27, 2015, 12:20:37 AM
Again statistical 0
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 27, 2015, 01:26:05 AM
There are conflicting reports on how many balls were under-inflated and just how under-inflated they were. [emphasis mine--mjb]

-and-

Literally anyone in this topic who is condemning the Patriots for this right now is basing every single one of their assumptions on a single report. [emphasis mine--mjb]


Oh, I see now.... Chris has been trolling us the whole time. Shame on me for not seeing it sooner. LOL. You got me.  ;D
Don't feel bad YMT, until the above I thought he was being serious also.  ;D
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Warrior_Monk on January 27, 2015, 01:39:47 AM
Again statistical 0
By that logic, evolution could never happen...

 :angel:
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 27, 2015, 11:33:27 AM
Literally anyone in this topic who is condemning the Patriots for this right now is basing every single one of their assumptions on a single report. [emphasis mine--mjb]

Every other report that existed at the time of that post allowed for a number of extremely plausible explanations. The only one that, if taken literally, did not was the original report, which stated 11 out of the 12 balls were 2 pounds under the legal limit.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on January 27, 2015, 05:15:42 PM
http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/2015/01/25/patriots-fumble-nearly-impossible-rate/LCgrlUR9qgxDsIgcal9dUI/story.html (http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/2015/01/25/patriots-fumble-nearly-impossible-rate/LCgrlUR9qgxDsIgcal9dUI/story.html)
This article (http://drewfustin.com/2015/01/27/patriots-fumble-comments/) (obligatory warning for brief language) pretty much debunks every single assertion that Warren Sharp makes in his analysis. The tl;dr version is that it was cherry picked analysis that at best was lazy and at worst was intentionally misleading. Either way, anyone who knows a thing about statistics knows that Sharp's analysis of New England's plays-per-fumble rate is garbage.

Here are a few other points that show how ridiculous Sharp's analysis is there:
 - Because his analysis completely omits dome teams, it also omits the fact that both the Falcons and the Saints had the same spike the Patriots saw starting in 2007.
 - The way Sharp measures "fumble rate" is the number of fumbles divided by the number of possessions, which discounts special teams fumbles. Teams with a high rate of special teams fumbles  will bring the average down when compared to the Patriots.
 - Players for New England understand that if you fumble, you're likely to see the bench (case in point: Ridley). This means players are less likely to take risks for the sake of yardage, lowering the fumble rate.

To reiterate, there is absolutely no proof that the Patriots have done anything wrong. The only things that has been confirmed are that the NFL is investigating, the Patriots are complying fully with the investigation, and Belichick and Brady both deny any wrongdoing. Absolutely everything else is speculation that is either based on reports that may not be accurate (especially given the fact that there are now at least out there) or nothing. Until there's any kind of a confirmation from the NFL, all speculation is going to do is take away from the anticipation of the Super Bowl.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Warrior_Monk on January 27, 2015, 06:06:40 PM
Wow! this thread has turned into a heated debate of opinions! :o
If you have nothing to contribute to the heated debate, perhaps reconsider posting.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 27, 2015, 06:21:14 PM
I think that if someone breaks the rules, then they get punished. That's is like the Laws God established is the O.T. (specifically Leviticus). I would even want my own home team (da Bears!) to be punished if they broke the rules. Like a Redemption tournament, if someone cheats, they are immediately suspended from the rest of the Tournament!
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: LukeChips on January 27, 2015, 06:41:14 PM
Ban N.E. from the playoffs for a couple of years like the NCAA does.
Why ban the whole area for the mistake of just one team?
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: lp670sv on January 27, 2015, 07:15:16 PM
Oddly enough, 2007 was the Patriot's "big F you"* season of 16-0.  Karma killed that in the end.

Bottom line: my opinion is that the NFL needs to nip this in the bud once and for all.  Ban N.E. from the playoffs for a couple of years like the NCAA does.

(* Media term, not mine.)

No. No no no no no no. That policy in the NCAA is hot garbage please do not advocate that ever be brought to the NFL, especially for such a pathetically insignificant offense.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Alex_Olijar on January 27, 2015, 08:22:45 PM
Please don't use euphimisms for swearing guys. This is basic stuff, cmon.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on January 27, 2015, 10:14:35 PM
Yeah, I think it is time for me to leave this thread, since we have devolved so much. I think I have stated my opinion clear enough. I will leave with my final thought for today:

Whatever loyalties I may have to my team should not supersede my loyalty to the integrity of the game.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on January 28, 2015, 07:27:20 PM
Hey everyone; sorry for this.

This was supposed to be a light goof thread, meant to allow people who actually cared about the SB to have their discussion in the "It's just that simple. (Superbowl)" thread without the extraneous triviality that is typical of the SB run up. I honestly didn't mean for this to become contentious or heated in any serious way.

Fortunately--no matter on which side you stand--we can rest easy knowing that the crack investigative arm of the NFL on the case. I sure any outcome will combine all the thoroughness of the initial Ray Rice investigation, all the alacrity of the NFL's look into effects of concussions, the lasting impact of the report on the Miami Dolphins bullying case, and the integrity we come to expect from an organization that is headed by Roger Goodell.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: Chris on February 07, 2015, 12:03:48 PM
So we're all up to date on the fact that the Patriots have pretty much been completely cleared of intentional wrongdoing, right? In a report that was confirmed by the NFL, all but one of the balls were only a "tick" below the legal limit (http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466783/article/more-details-on-the-investigation-of-patriots-deflated-footballs). One ball (especially a ball that was likely the one touched by the opposing team) at 2 PSI under the legal limit doesn't really condemn the Patriots of anything since there are a number of possible explanations, especially because the other balls are likely explained by the likelihood that the Patriots' balls start at 12.5 PSI, the lower end of the legal limit. Any factor, including atmospheric ones, would have brought those balls under the legal limit when they were remeasured, which means it is not the Patriots' fault. In other words, when I stated earlier in this thread that anyone convinced the Patriots did it didn't care about evidence and that condemnation of the Patriots was just speculation based on a single report, I was spot on.

Meanwhile, Atlanta has admitted to pumping in crowd noise and nobody is talking about that. There's very little media coverage and very little outrage from fans, which only serves to demonstrate that most of the people who claim to care about the integrity of the game really only care when it means they get to take a shot at the Patriots, or this would be talked about way, way more.
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on February 07, 2015, 03:15:02 PM
So we're all up to date on the fact that the Patriots have pretty much been completely cleared of intentional wrongdoing, right?
In the article the only thing close to an official NFL source was Goddell's "we have no judgments," which strikes me as a less than ringing endorsement of Patriot innocence. Everything else was attributed to "multiple sources." This is exactly the type of sourcing you were decrying a week or so back.

In a report that was confirmed by the NFL,
Can you point me to where the NFL has confirmed Ian Rappaport's report?

If the NFL does confirm it, maybe we can at long last get you to agree that the claim that eleven of the twelve balls used by the Patriots in the AFC championship games were under-inflated was not merely unsubstantiated rumor.

Quote
all but one of the balls were only a "tick" below the legal limit (http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000466783/article/more-details-on-the-investigation-of-patriots-deflated-footballs).
This is simply false. According to the report--of the eleven balls, one was about two pounds under, several were about a pound under, and several more were a tick below the legal limit.

In other words, when I stated earlier in this thread that anyone convinced the Patriots did it didn't care about evidence and that condemnation of the Patriots was just speculation based on a single report, I was spot on.
And you are claiming vindication "based on a single report" which uses precisely the same type of sourcing you were complaining about earlier. Why is it OK now to go with what "several sources say" where other people relying on similarly-sourced stories was bad, bad, bad?


Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: YourMathTeacher on February 07, 2015, 03:49:35 PM
You seem to have forgotten that Chris was trolling us....  ;)
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: EmJayBee83 on May 06, 2015, 07:41:31 PM
The official NFL report is out. The NY Times headlines summarizes it thusly, "Patriots, With Tom Brady’s Knowledge, Most Likely Deflated Footballs, Report Says."
Title: Re: Just when I thought...
Post by: VJ on May 06, 2015, 09:28:00 PM
Also, according to ESPN the Patriot's owner is "disappointed" with the final report, but will go along with the league's decision.
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